Will Roger Federer win an unprecedented ninth Wimbledon title? Can Angelique Kerber claim her first? They are the two players to beat, according to Game Insight Group data, as quarterfinal action begins at The Championships.
The predictions are put together using Elo ratings, an alternative to more traditional rankings aimed at giving a greater insight into a player’s performance ability.
They factor in every professional match a player has played in their career, taking into account the level of the opponent, the difficulty of the match and whether it took place at tour level or at a Grand Slam.
When adjusted for specific surfaces, they still take into account all of a player’s matches but weigh those on the chosen surface more heavily.
Kerber, a Wimbledon finalist in 2016, started the tournament with a 6.3% chance of winning the title. The world No.11 is now the highest-ranked woman left in the draw, boosting her title chances to 28.3%.
Roger Federer remains a firm favourite for the gentlemen’s title, with his chances rising to 41.9% (up 4% on his pre-tournament chances).
|Juan Martin del Potro||5.9%|
^ If Del Potro beats Simon to reach the quarterfinals
World No.1 and two-time Wimbledon champion Rafael Nadal looms as Federer’s biggest challenger. The Spaniard’s chances receive a further boost should Frenchman Gilles Simon recover from a two-sets-to-one deficit when his fourth round clash with world No.4 Juan Martin del Potro resumes on day eight of The Championships.
|Wimbledon Gentlemen’s Championship Prediction*|
* If Simon beats Del Potro to reach the quarterfinals
16 February 2017
In the first part of our series analysing the similarities and differences between men's ... More
22 February 2016
How well do you know your lobs from your lets? Take this test to see if you can be the nex... More
3 May 2017
Next week, when Grigor Dimitrov is projected to rise from world No.13 to No.12, exactly o... More