Reigning Australian Open champion Novak Djokovic is a red-hot favourite to win the Indian Wells title.
According to Game Insight Group (GIG) data, the world No.1 has a massive 53.1 per cent chance of scooping his sixth title in the Californian desert this fortnight. That is more than double that of world No.2 Rafael Nadal at 20.3 per cent.
Roger Federer is the only other player whose title chances are in double figures (at 15.8 per cent), however the five-time champion has landed in the most difficult quarter of the draw.
INDIAN WELLS: Serena Williams, Naomi Osaka favourites in women’s draw
Men’s singles championship prediction (pre-tournament)
| Player | Title chance |
| Novak Djokovic | 53.1% |
| Rafael Nadal | 20.3% |
| Roger Federer | 15.8% |
| Alexander Zverev | 3.4% |
| Daniil Medvedev | 2% |
| Gael Monfils | 1.5% |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | 0.9% |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0.7% |
| Kei Nishikori | 0.6% |
| Marin Cilic | 0.5% |
| Player | Quarter | (- more difficult/+ easy) |
| Novak Djokovic | 1 | +0.50% |
| Alexander Zverev | 2 | +0.53% |
| Roger Federer | 3 | -0.88% |
| Rafael Nadal | 4 | -0.15% |
Twitter: Get the latest updates from Game Insight Group
The predictions are put together using Elo ratings, an alternative to more traditional rankings aimed at giving a greater insight into a player’s performance ability.
They factor in every professional match a player has played in their career, taking into account the level of the opponent, the difficulty of the match and whether it took place at tour level or at a Grand Slam.
When adjusted for specific surfaces, they still take into account all of a player’s matches but weigh those on the chosen surface more heavily.
18 December 2017
Let's say Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer are both in the prime of their careers, and the... More
15 July 2019
Roger Federer put a brave face on his dramatic five-set defeat by Novak Djokovic in Sunday... More
Novak Djokovic is keenly aware of the significance of his fifth-set performance against Ro... More
11 May 2017
When we look at Rafa Nadal on clay, there are a few key points that make him better than e... More
© 2019 Tennis Australia