Indian Wells: Serena Williams, Naomi Osaka the title favourites

Published by Game Insight Group

ONE TO BEAT: Serena Williams is the Indian Wells title favourite according to GIG data; Getty Images
Game Insight Group has crunched the data to discover who is the Indian Wells title favourite for 2019 …

Can Serena Williams win her first Indian Wells title since 2001?

The world No.10-ranked American is the title favourite according to Game Insight Group (GIG) data. Williams has a 22.3 per cent chance of winning Indian Wells this year, ahead of world No.1 and defending champion Naomi Osaka at 15.7 per cent.

Williams is in a strong third quarter of the draw, headlined by fourth seed Sloane Stephens. It makes for a particularly tough draw for Stephens, but it won’t be easy for Williams either. The 37-year-old, who made the third round at Indian Wells last year in her tour-level return from maternity leave, faces a potential second-round meeting and 2016 final rematch with Victoria Azarenka.

QUIZ: Can you pick these player legs?

Women’s singles championship prediction (pre-tournament)

Player Title chance
Serena Williams 22.3%
Naomi Osaka 15.7%
Karolina Pliskova 14.2%
Ash Barty 11%
Petra Kvitova 10.2%
Simona Halep 9.6%
Elina Svitolina 3.9%
Aryna Sabalenka 2.1%
Kiki Bertens 2%
Madison Keys 2%
Indian Wells women’s singles draw difficulty (pre-tournament)
Player Quarter (- more difficult/+ easy)
Naomi Osaka 1 -0.5%
Petra Kvitova 2 +2.1%
Sloane Stephens 3 -5.5%
Simona Halep 4 +3.95%

Twitter: Get the latest updates from Game Insight Group

The predictions are put together using Elo ratings, an alternative to more traditional rankings aimed at giving a greater insight into a player’s performance ability.

They factor in every professional match a player has played in their career, taking into account the level of the opponent, the difficulty of the match and whether it took place at tour level or at a Grand Slam.

When adjusted for specific surfaces, they still take into account all of a player’s matches but weigh those on the chosen surface more heavily.

> Read more at the Game Insight Group blog

Share this: 
  • Most popular articles

13 September 2019

News bites: Halep back with Cahill, Osaka splits with Jenkin...

Two-time major champion Simona Halep says she is reuniting with Australian coach Darren Ca... More

9 January 2018

ATP: the biggest strength and weakness of every top 10 playe...

As the first Grand Slam of the season fast approaches, top-10 players are leading the char... More

13 September 2019

Kim Clijsters announces tennis comeback

Four-time Grand Slam champion Kim Clijsters plans to come out of retirement after a seven-... More

9 September 2019

Nadal not focused on Grand Slam record after US Open win

Rafael Nadal's victory at the US Open has intensified the focus on the men's list of most ... More