Indian Wells: Serena Williams, Naomi Osaka the title favourites

Published by Game Insight Group

ONE TO BEAT: Serena Williams is the Indian Wells title favourite according to GIG data; Getty Images
Game Insight Group has crunched the data to discover who is the Indian Wells title favourite for 2019 …

Can Serena Williams win her first Indian Wells title since 2001?

The world No.10-ranked American is the title favourite according to Game Insight Group (GIG) data. Williams has a 22.3 per cent chance of winning Indian Wells this year, ahead of world No.1 and defending champion Naomi Osaka at 15.7 per cent.

Williams is in a strong third quarter of the draw, headlined by fourth seed Sloane Stephens. It makes for a particularly tough draw for Stephens, but it won’t be easy for Williams either. The 37-year-old, who made the third round at Indian Wells last year in her tour-level return from maternity leave, faces a potential second-round meeting and 2016 final rematch with Victoria Azarenka.

QUIZ: Can you pick these player legs?

Women’s singles championship prediction (pre-tournament)

Player Title chance
Serena Williams 22.3%
Naomi Osaka 15.7%
Karolina Pliskova 14.2%
Ash Barty 11%
Petra Kvitova 10.2%
Simona Halep 9.6%
Elina Svitolina 3.9%
Aryna Sabalenka 2.1%
Kiki Bertens 2%
Madison Keys 2%
Indian Wells women’s singles draw difficulty (pre-tournament)
Player Quarter (- more difficult/+ easy)
Naomi Osaka 1 -0.5%
Petra Kvitova 2 +2.1%
Sloane Stephens 3 -5.5%
Simona Halep 4 +3.95%

Twitter: Get the latest updates from Game Insight Group

The predictions are put together using Elo ratings, an alternative to more traditional rankings aimed at giving a greater insight into a player’s performance ability.

They factor in every professional match a player has played in their career, taking into account the level of the opponent, the difficulty of the match and whether it took place at tour level or at a Grand Slam.

When adjusted for specific surfaces, they still take into account all of a player’s matches but weigh those on the chosen surface more heavily.

> Read more at the Game Insight Group blog

Share this: 
  • Most popular articles

18 December 2017

SmashDebate: who’s better, Prime Novak or Prime Roger?

Let's say Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer are both in the prime of their careers, and the... More

23 February 2016

The history of the most common words in tennis

Tennis is a funny old game. People love you one minute and then want to drop you the next;... More

7 December 2017

Who’s who in Novak’s team?

After calling time on his 2017 season with an elbow injury in July, Novak Djokovic is look... More

11 May 2017

Woodbridge: Why Rafa is so good on clay

When we look at Rafa Nadal on clay, there are a few key points that make him better than e... More