French Open ratings: Who will win the singles titles?

Published by Game Insight Group

Simona Halep is trying to win a first Grand Slam title in Paris; Getty Images
With the quarterfinal line-ups decided, the Game Insight Group rates the chances of the 16 players still fighting for the French Open singles titles.

Eight men and eight women are left in the running for the French Open singles titles, and the Game Insight Group has rated their chances of victory.

The top four men predicted to win the title before the tournament remain in place after four rounds, while only one of the four highest-rated women, Simona Halep, has made it through to the quarterfinals.

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The predictions are put together using Elo ratings, an alternative to more traditional rankings aimed at giving a greater insight into a player’s performance ability.

They factor in every professional match a player has played in their career, taking into account the level of the opponent, the difficulty of the match and whether it took place at tour level or at a Grand Slam.

When adjusted for specific surfaces, they still take into account all of a player’s matches but weigh those on the chosen surface more heavily.

French Open Men’s Championship Prediction (pre-quarterfinals)

 Player Title chance
1. Rafael Nadal 48.6%
2. Alexander Zverev 18.4%
3. Dominic Thiem 10.6%
4. Juan Martin del Potro 8.8%
5. Novak Djokovic 8.2%
6. Marin Cilic 3.4%
7. Diego Schwartzman 1.2%
8. Marco Cecchinato 0.7%

French Open Women’s Championship Prediction (pre-quarterfinals)

 Player Title chance
1. Simona Halep 27.0%
2. Daria Kasatkina 23.9%
3. Angelique Kerber 16.2%
4. Garbine Muguruza 10.9%
5. Maria Sharapova 8.6%
6. Sloane Stephens 7.9%
7. Madison Keys 4.6%
8. Yulia Putintseva 0.8%

 

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